Odds On Polymarket and Kalshi Shows Pricing For Prolonged U.S. Government Shutdown

The partial U.S. federal government shutdown—triggered by a lapse in appropriations on October 1—has entered its 10th day. Non-essential services remain halted, affecting hundreds of thousands of federal workers, national parks, and research funding. Negotiations in Congress have stalled amid partisan disputes over spending priorities, with no immediate resolution in sight. Prediction markets like Polymarket,

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