African coffee exports are projected to reach a record 1.18 million tonnes in the 2024/25 season, coinciding with the impending implementation of the EU Deforestation Regulation. Rwanda is expected to maintain its access to the European market, while Ethiopia and Uganda are facing potential structural risks that could jeopardize their export capabilities. In contrast, Kenya is at risk of losing its access to the European market altogether, highlighting the varied impacts of the regulation across different countries in the region. The regulation aims to ensure that products sold in the EU do not contribute to deforestation, which may significantly alter the landscape of African coffee exports.
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