Don't count on the landmark crypto policy bill to pass Congress this year, prediction traders say

Prediction markets indicate low odds for the passage of a landmark crypto policy bill in Congress this year. Traders on Polymarket give the bill a 15% chance of being signed into law in 2026, with similar bets on Kalshi. The bill aims to establish a regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies. President Donald Trump, whose financial disclosures show personal crypto profits of $1.2 billion in 2025, has advocated for the bill, and industry groups have lobbied for it.

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