A Forecast Is Not a Verdict: Why The Economist Misreads 2027

Vanguard News | 06-10-2026 06:48am |

An opinion piece by Kola Alapinni critiques The Economist's forecast that President Bola Tinubu may be re-elected in 2027 despite public dislike. The author argues that the magazine's analysis treats the forecast as a verdict, ignoring the dynamic nature of Nigerian politics. The piece challenges the assumptions that incumbency, a split opposition, and a Muslim-Muslim ticket will guarantee re-election. It emphasizes that the 2023 election map will not necessarily repeat itself.

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